Calculateur de Victoires Pythagoriciennes — Formule
## How the Pythagorean Win Formula Works
### Formula
**Expected Win % = PF^exp / (PF^exp + PA^exp)**
Where PF = Points For, PA = Points Against, and exp is the Pythagorean exponent.
### Typical Exponents
- **MLB**: 1.83
- **NFL**: 2.37
- **NBA**: 14
- **NHL**: 2.05
Teams that significantly outperform their Pythagorean expectation often regress toward the expected record in subsequent seasons.
### Formula
**Expected Win % = PF^exp / (PF^exp + PA^exp)**
Where PF = Points For, PA = Points Against, and exp is the Pythagorean exponent.
### Typical Exponents
- **MLB**: 1.83
- **NFL**: 2.37
- **NBA**: 14
- **NHL**: 2.05
Teams that significantly outperform their Pythagorean expectation often regress toward the expected record in subsequent seasons.
Exemple Résolu
NBA team: 750 points scored, 680 allowed through 82 games (exponent 14).
- Win % = 750^14 / (750^14 + 680^14)
- This evaluates to approximately 0.769
- Expected wins = 0.769 * 82 = 63.1 wins
- Expected losses = 82 - 63.1 = 18.9
- Avg point diff = (750 - 680) / 82 = 0.9 per game