Calculadora de Goles Esperados de Fútbol Gratis
Calcula los goles esperados (xG) de un equipo o jugador basándote en oportunidades de gol.
Total Expected Goals
2.05 xG
Total Expected Goals vs Shots Inside the Box
Fórmula
## Expected Goals (xG) in Soccer Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of scoring chances by assigning each shot a probability of being scored based on historical data. ### Simplified xG Values - **Inside box**: ~0.12 xG per shot - **Outside box**: ~0.03 xG per shot - **Headers**: ~0.06 xG per shot - **Penalties**: ~0.76 xG per penalty **Total xG = Sum of all shot xG values** Professional xG models use 10+ variables including exact location, body part, assist type, game state, and goalkeeper position.
Ejemplo Resuelto
A team takes 8 shots inside the box, 5 outside, 3 headers, and 1 penalty.
- 01Inside box xG = 8 x 0.12 = 0.96
- 02Outside box xG = 5 x 0.03 = 0.15
- 03Headers xG = 3 x 0.06 = 0.18
- 04Penalties xG = 1 x 0.76 = 0.76
- 05Total xG = 0.96 + 0.15 + 0.18 + 0.76 = 2.05
Preguntas Frecuentes
What does xG of 2.0 mean?
An xG of 2.0 means the team's shots had a combined probability of producing 2 goals. If they scored 3, they outperformed their xG; if they scored 1, they underperformed.
Is xG useful for predicting results?
Yes. Over a season, xG is a better predictor of future results than actual goals scored, because it measures underlying chance quality rather than finishing luck.
What is a good xG per match?
Top teams in major leagues average 1.5-2.5 xG per match. Creating 2+ xG consistently indicates a strong attack regardless of actual goals scored.
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