Soccer Expected Goals (xG) Rechner
Berechnen Sie expected goals (xG) aus shot data. Evaluate soccer team shot quality und chance creation.
Total Expected Goals
2.05 xG
Total Expected Goals vs Shots Inside the Box
Formel
## Expected Goals (xG) in Soccer Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of scoring chances by assigning each shot a probability of being scored based on historical data. ### Simplified xG Values - **Inside box**: ~0.12 xG per shot - **Outside box**: ~0.03 xG per shot - **Headers**: ~0.06 xG per shot - **Penalties**: ~0.76 xG per penalty **Total xG = Sum of all shot xG values** Professional xG models use 10+ variables including exact location, body part, assist type, game state, and goalkeeper position.
Lösungsbeispiel
A team takes 8 shots inside the box, 5 outside, 3 headers, and 1 penalty.
- 01Inside box xG = 8 x 0.12 = 0.96
- 02Outside box xG = 5 x 0.03 = 0.15
- 03Headers xG = 3 x 0.06 = 0.18
- 04Penalties xG = 1 x 0.76 = 0.76
- 05Total xG = 0.96 + 0.15 + 0.18 + 0.76 = 2.05
Häufig Gestellte Fragen
What does xG of 2.0 mean?
An xG of 2.0 means the team's shots had a combined probability of producing 2 goals. If they scored 3, they outperformed their xG; if they scored 1, they underperformed.
Is xG useful for predicting results?
Yes. Over a season, xG is a better predictor of future results than actual goals scored, because it measures underlying chance quality rather than finishing luck.
What is a good xG per match?
Top teams in major leagues average 1.5-2.5 xG per match. Creating 2+ xG consistently indicates a strong attack regardless of actual goals scored.
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