Negative Binomial Calculatorसूत्र

## How to Calculate Negative Binomial Probability

### Formula

**P(X = k) = C(k-1, r-1) * p^r * (1-p)^(k-r)**

The negative binomial distribution models the number of trials needed to achieve exactly r successes. The last trial must be a success (the r-th), and the preceding k-1 trials must contain exactly r-1 successes. The expected number of trials is r/p.

हल किया गया उदाहरण

A salesperson closes 40% of pitches. What is the probability that the 3rd sale happens on the 8th pitch?

  1. Need r=3 successes on trial k=8
  2. C(7,2) = 21
  3. p^r = 0.4^3 = 0.064
  4. (1-p)^(k-r) = 0.6^5 = 0.07776
  5. P(X=8) = 21 * 0.064 * 0.07776 ≈ 0.10450
  6. Expected trials = 3 / 0.4 = 7.5