सॉकर अपेक्षित गोल कैलकुलेटर — सूत्र

Expected Goals (xG) in Soccer

Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of scoring chances by assigning each shot a probability of being scored based on historical data.

Simplified xG Values

  • Inside box: ~0.12 xG per shot
  • Outside box: ~0.03 xG per shot
  • Headers: ~0.06 xG per shot
  • Penalties: ~0.76 xG per penalty

    • Total xG = Sum of all shot xG values

    Professional xG models use 10+ variables including exact location, body part, assist type, game state, and goalkeeper position.

    हल किया गया उदाहरण

    A team takes 8 shots inside the box, 5 outside, 3 headers, and 1 penalty.

    1. Inside box xG = 8 x 0.12 = 0.96
    2. Outside box xG = 5 x 0.03 = 0.15
    3. Headers xG = 3 x 0.06 = 0.18
    4. Penalties xG = 1 x 0.76 = 0.76
    5. Total xG = 0.96 + 0.15 + 0.18 + 0.76 = 2.05