Calculatrice de Croissance Logistique Gratuite

Modélisez la croissance logistique d'une population. Calculez l'évolution avec une capacité d'accueil maximale.

Population

599.86

Pct Capacity60.0 %
Inflection T9.19

Formule

Logistic Growth Model

Formula

P(t) = K / (1 + ((K - P₀) / P₀) × e^(-rt))

Where:

  • K = carrying capacity (maximum population)
  • P₀ = initial population
  • r = intrinsic growth rate
  • t = time
  • S-Curve

    Logistic growth starts exponentially, slows as it approaches the carrying capacity, and levels off. The inflection point (fastest growth) occurs at P = K/2.

    Exemple Résolu

    Population starting at 10, carrying capacity 1000, growth rate 0.5, at time t = 10.

    1. 01P(10) = 1000 / (1 + 99 × e^(-5))
    2. 02= 1000 / (1 + 99 × 0.00674)
    3. 03= 1000 / (1 + 0.667)
    4. 04= 1000 / 1.667 ≈ 599.71

    Questions Fréquentes

    What is logistic growth?

    Logistic growth is a model where a population grows exponentially at first, then slows as it approaches a maximum (carrying capacity). It produces an S-shaped curve.

    What is the carrying capacity?

    The carrying capacity (K) is the maximum population size that the environment can sustain indefinitely, limited by resources, space, and competition.

    Where is logistic growth used?

    Population biology, epidemiology (disease spread), market saturation models, technology adoption curves, and bacterial growth in limited environments.

    Apprendre

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