Prédicteur de Temps de MarathonFormule

## Riegel Formula

**Predicted Time = Race Time x (Target Distance / Race Distance)^1.06**

The Riegel formula, developed by Peter Riegel in 1977, accounts for the fact that pace slows as distance increases. The exponent 1.06 captures this endurance fatigue factor.

Exemple Résolu

A runner who completed a 5K (3.1 miles) in 25 minutes.

  1. Marathon distance = 26.2 miles
  2. Distance ratio = 26.2 / 3.1 = 8.452
  3. Predicted time = 25 x 8.452^1.06
  4. = 25 x 9.55 = 238.7 minutes
  5. = 3 hours 58.7 minutes
  6. Pace = 238.7 / 26.2 = 9.11 min/mile