Calculadora de Forçamento Radiativo
Calcule o forçamento radiativo do aumento de gases de efeito estufa.
Radiative Forcing
2.169 W/m²
Radiative Forcing vs Initial CO2 Concentration
Formula
Radiative Forcing from CO2
Radiative forcing measures the change in energy balance at the top of the atmosphere caused by a change in CO2 concentration.
Formula
Delta F = 5.35 x ln(C / C0) W/m²
Where C is the new concentration and C0 is the reference (pre-industrial) concentration. The natural logarithm reflects the diminishing absorption effect as CO2 levels rise.
Exemplo Resolvido
CO2 has risen from 280 ppm (pre-industrial) to 420 ppm (current).
- 01Ratio = 420 / 280 = 1.5
- 02ln(1.5) = 0.4055
- 03Delta F = 5.35 x 0.4055 = 2.169 W/m²
Perguntas Frequentes
What is radiative forcing?
Radiative forcing is the difference between incoming solar energy absorbed by the Earth and energy radiated back to space, measured in watts per square meter.
Why is the relationship logarithmic?
As CO2 increases, the absorption bands become saturated. Each additional molecule of CO2 has a slightly smaller warming effect, producing a logarithmic curve.
What does 2 W/m² mean in practical terms?
A forcing of 2 W/m² roughly corresponds to about 1.5 degrees Celsius of eventual warming once the climate reaches equilibrium.