足球预期进球计算器
使用此足球预期进球计算器快速获得准确的计算结果。
Total Expected Goals
2.05 xG
Total Expected Goals vs Shots Inside the Box
公式
Expected Goals (xG) in Soccer
Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of scoring chances by assigning each shot a probability of being scored based on historical data.
Simplified xG Values
Total xG = Sum of all shot xG values
Professional xG models use 10+ variables including exact location, body part, assist type, game state, and goalkeeper position.
计算示例
A team takes 8 shots inside the box, 5 outside, 3 headers, and 1 penalty.
- 01Inside box xG = 8 x 0.12 = 0.96
- 02Outside box xG = 5 x 0.03 = 0.15
- 03Headers xG = 3 x 0.06 = 0.18
- 04Penalties xG = 1 x 0.76 = 0.76
- 05Total xG = 0.96 + 0.15 + 0.18 + 0.76 = 2.05
常见问题
What does xG of 2.0 mean?
An xG of 2.0 means the team's shots had a combined probability of producing 2 goals. If they scored 3, they outperformed their xG; if they scored 1, they underperformed.
Is xG useful for predicting results?
Yes. Over a season, xG is a better predictor of future results than actual goals scored, because it measures underlying chance quality rather than finishing luck.
What is a good xG per match?
Top teams in major leagues average 1.5-2.5 xG per match. Creating 2+ xG consistently indicates a strong attack regardless of actual goals scored.
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