Soccer Expected Goals (xG) Calculator

Calculate a simplified expected goals (xG) total from shot data including location and type.

Total Expected Goals

2.05 xG

Total Shots17
xG per Shot0.121

Total Expected Goals vs Shots Inside the Box

Expected Goals (xG) in Soccer

Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of scoring chances by assigning each shot a probability of being scored based on historical data.

Simplified xG Values

  • Inside box: ~0.12 xG per shot
  • Outside box: ~0.03 xG per shot
  • Headers: ~0.06 xG per shot
  • Penalties: ~0.76 xG per penalty
  • Total xG = Sum of all shot xG values

    Professional xG models use 10+ variables including exact location, body part, assist type, game state, and goalkeeper position.

    Example Calculation

    A team takes 8 shots inside the box, 5 outside, 3 headers, and 1 penalty.

    1. 01Inside box xG = 8 x 0.12 = 0.96
    2. 02Outside box xG = 5 x 0.03 = 0.15
    3. 03Headers xG = 3 x 0.06 = 0.18
    4. 04Penalties xG = 1 x 0.76 = 0.76
    5. 05Total xG = 0.96 + 0.15 + 0.18 + 0.76 = 2.05

    Frequently Asked Questions

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