学费增长预测计算器

使用此学费增长预测计算器进行准确的估算和预测。

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Annual Spending

$2,500,000

Sustainable? (spend <= real return)0
Real Return Rate4.0 %
Net Annual Endowment Growth-$500,000

Annual Spending vs Annual Spending Rate

公式

How Endowment Spending Works

Endowments are designed to provide perpetual funding. The spending rate must be low enough that investment returns preserve the real (inflation-adjusted) value of the endowment.

Formula

Annual Spending = Endowment Value x Spending Rate

Sustainable if Spending Rate <= Expected Return - Inflation

Common Practice

  • Most institutions spend 4-5% annually
  • The "Yale Model" suggests 5.25% with a diversified portfolio
  • Spending above the real return rate erodes the endowment over time
  • 计算示例

    A $50M endowment with 5% spending rate, 7% expected return, 3% inflation.

    1. 01Annual spending: $50M x 0.05 = $2,500,000
    2. 02Real return: 7% - 3% = 4%
    3. 03Spending (5%) > Real return (4%): Not sustainable long-term
    4. 04Net growth: $50M x (7 - 5 - 3)/100 = -$500,000 per year

    常见问题

    What is a prudent spending rate?

    The UPMIFA guidelines suggest spending 4-7% is presumptively prudent, but sustainability depends on investment returns and inflation.

    Can a school spend more during emergencies?

    Yes, boards can approve temporary higher spending, but should plan to return to sustainable levels within a defined period.

    How are endowment returns measured?

    Using total return (interest, dividends, and capital appreciation) on a rolling 3-year or 5-year average to smooth volatility.

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